Generics' success rate in patent challenge drops drastically in '04
It appears that generic companies need to coin more innovative patent challenge strategies and strengthen their legal expertise while taking on patented molecules. The year 2004 did not fare well for patent litigation indicating a tough time for the generic players who thrive on patent challenges, pointed out a CLSA report on Asia-Pacific markets. This is because most of the newer patent challenges are on composition of matter patents and method of use patents which are difficult to invalidate, it said.
While September first week witnessed Dr Reddy's loss in Lamisil patent challenge, the generic biggie Teva of Israel lost three cases in the second half of August this year. The next big litigation is Zyprexa where Dr Reddy's and Ivax have challenged Eli Lilly on the composition of matter patents.

Over the next 15 months lower court decisions on two cases are expected, these being Lipitor for Ranbaxy and Zyprexa for Dr Reddy's. It is believed that Eli Lilly would prevail in Zyprexa and generic would lose. A loss would further worsen the outlook, but a win could re-ignite hope, the report says.

The report says that Ranbaxy and Dr Reddy's have a robust pipeline of patent challenges and CLSA continue to believe that these companies would win some of their many patent challenges.

''Seeing is believing,'' quips the report. The key patent challenges of Ranbaxy include Lipitor (Pfizer - patent expiry 2006/10), Valtrex (GSK-February 2007), Pravachol (BMS April 2006), Zocor (Merck July 2006), Imitrex (GSK 2006/08), Aricept (Eisai Inc November 2010), Detrol (Pfizer January 2012) and Actos (Abbott January 2011).

The patent challenge pipeline of Dr Reddy's comprises of Zofran (GSK December 2006), Zyprexa (Eli Lilly April 2011), Lamisil (Novartis July 2004), Avandia (GSK august 2008), Actos (Abbott January 2011), Aciphex (Eisai Inc September 2008), Avelox (Bayer June 2009), Tequin (BMS December 2007), Zoloft (Pfizer June 2006) and Risperdal (J&J December 2007).

According to the CLSA report on Asia-Pacific markets 2004 was not a good year in litigation for generic companies. Of the 11 key patent litigation during the year 2004 there were nine unfavourable and two favourable decisions, say six losses, three reversals (vacated) and two wins.

Dr Reddy's lost two cases, one is on Lamisil against Novartis and the other Norvasc against Pfizer. Teva lost two cases as well, viz; Zofran (GSK) and Accupril (Pfizer). The two other patent losses this year were Milan Vs J&J on Duragesic and Impax Vs Aventis on Rilutek.

The reversals against generic companies include Teva Vs Abbott for Vicoprofen, Teva Vs Schwarz for Univasc and Andrx Vs Elan for Naproxen.

Apotex has won in the patent challenge against GSK on Paxil and Teva/Endo received favourable decision on Oxycontin by Purdue. There were other minor setbacks like fluconazole and cefpodoxime proxteil for Ranbaxy but these were expected to go against generics, said the CLSA report.

An FTC study in 2002 had shown that generics win about three in four patent challenges in the lower court. "Since it is difficult to take a call on individual patents challenges, this high probability factor has been used as a comfort factor to apply a portfolio approach to patent challenge pipelines," points out the report. A look at the data shows that the probability factor has worsened in 2004 to two in eleven.

Patent challenges have been an integral part of the generic business models and CLSA estimates that there would be more than 100 patent challenges currently where in 50 comes from Indian pharmaceutical players.